India play Sri Lanka, while Australia take on South Africa, with an Australian victory locking up top spot and a semifinal showdown with the Black Caps. If Australia lose, an Indian victory would mean they would be the side travelling to Manchester to meet the Black Caps.

The Black Caps will come into the clash on the back of some poor form – having limped into the semifinals with three straight losses. However, they were clinical when required against an easier early schedule, and while they did get a stroke of luck with a rainout against India, they also made the most of their dominant displays, like in their opener against Sri Lanka.

That game saw the Black Caps roll Sri Lanka for 136, before chasing it down in just 16.1 overs – providing a huge early net run rate boost. Conversely, Pakistan's opening game against the West Indies was a nightmare, being routed for 105 in 21.4 overs, and seeing the West Indies chase it down in 13.4.

It was an ultimately crucial defeat, one which left them needing a Lord's miracle – but they barely had a prayer.